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The Rising Global Burden of MASLD and Other Metabolic Diseases (2000–2021)

Pojsakorn Danpanichkul, Kanokphong Suparan, Luis Antonio Diaz, Michael B. Fallon, Vincent L. Chen, Kornnatthanai Namsathimaphorn, Krittameth Rakwong, Torlap Inkongngam, Chuthathip Kaeosri, Markos Kalligeros, Phuuwadith Wattanachayakul, Cheng Han Ng, Hirokazu Takahashi, Daniel Q. Huang, Mark D. Muthiah, Juan Pablo Arab, Donghee Kim, Trenton M. White, Mazen Noureddin, Elisabetta BugianesiPeter Jepsen, Vincent W.S. Wong, Jeffrey V. Lazarus, Karn Wijarnpreecha

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

Abstract

Background: Metabolic diseases are a public health threat to diverse populations worldwide. This study aims to update the epidemiological trends of metabolic diseases across regions and sociodemographic stratifications using the Global Burden of Diseases Study 2021. Methods: This study focused on metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD) and type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) along with obesity, hypertension, and dyslipidemia. The prevalence and disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) with their age-standardised prevalence rate and DALYs (ASPR and ASDALYs) and uncertainty intervals (UIs) were estimated and stratified by sex, geography, and the Sociodemographic Index (SDI). Epidemiological trends were analysed using the Joinpoint Regression method, which calculated the annual percent change (APC) and confidence intervals (CIs) of age-standardised rates (ASRs) from 2000 to 2021. Results: In 2021, MASLD had a prevalence of 1.27 billion people (ASPR: 15,018.07, 95% UI: 13,756.47 to 16,361.44; ASDALYs: 42.40, 95% UI: 33.60 to 53.31), while T2DM had a prevalence of 0.51 billion people (ASPR: 5885.40, 95% UI: 5467.62 to 6334.18; ASDALYs: 871.78, 95% UI: 735.05 to 1044.78) worldwide. ASPRs of MASLD and T2DM increased over the 2 decades. ASDALYs decreased over time for dyslipidemia (APC: −1.43%, 95% CI: −1.58 to −1.27%) and hypertension (APC: −1.32%, 95% CI: −1.43 to −1.21%) but increased for T2DM (APC: 1.09%, 95% CI: 1.04 to 1.14%) and obesity (APC: 0.70%, 95% CI: 0.63 to 0.78%), while it remained stable for MASLD. The global burden of metabolic diseases was generally higher in males compared to females. The highest ASDALYs for all these metabolic diseases were observed in low-middle SDI countries. Conclusion: The global burden of MASLD and other metabolic diseases is substantial. National and global policies must better address metabolic diseases including the MASLD public health threat.

Original languageEnglish (US)
Pages (from-to)1141-1154
Number of pages14
JournalUnited European Gastroenterology Journal
Volume13
Issue number7
DOIs
StatePublished - Sep 2025

Keywords

  • MASH
  • MASLD
  • dyslipidemia
  • epidemiology
  • global health
  • hypertension
  • liver disease
  • non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD)
  • obesity
  • type 2 diabetes
  • Disability-Adjusted Life Years
  • Prevalence
  • Humans
  • Middle Aged
  • Male
  • Diabetes Mellitus, Type 2/epidemiology
  • Non-alcoholic Fatty Liver Disease/epidemiology
  • Female
  • Adult
  • Metabolic Diseases/epidemiology
  • Obesity/epidemiology
  • Hypertension/epidemiology
  • Dyslipidemias/epidemiology
  • Aged
  • Global Burden of Disease/trends
  • Global Health/statistics & numerical data

ASJC Scopus subject areas

  • Oncology
  • Gastroenterology

Divisions

  • Gastroenterology and Hepatology

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