@inproceedings{0e145d12181a4680bd662d229a09d6e2,
title = "Estimation of the age-specific per-contact probability of Ebola virus transmission in Liberia using agent-based simulations",
abstract = "Based on multiscale agent-based computations we estimated the per-contact probability of transmission by age of the Ebola virus disease (EVD) that swept through Liberia from May 2014 to March 2015. For the approximation of the epidemic dynamics we have developed a detailed agent-based model with small-world interactions between individuals categorized by age. For the estimation of the structure of the evolving contact network as well as the per-contact transmission probabilities by age group we exploited the so called Equation-Free framework. Model parameters were fitted to official case counts reported by the World Health Organization (WHO) as well as to recently published data of key epidemiological variables, such as the mean time to death, recovery and the case fatality rate.",
keywords = "Agent-based modeling, Complex Networks, Contact Transmission Probability, Ebola Epidemic, Liberia",
author = "Siettos, \{Constantinos I.\} and Cleo Anastassopoulou and Lucia Russo and Christos Grigoras and Eleftherios Mylonakis",
note = "Publisher Copyright: {\textcopyright} 2016 Author(s).; International Conference of Numerical Analysis and Applied Mathematics 2015, ICNAAM 2015 ; Conference date: 23-09-2015 Through 29-09-2015",
year = "2016",
month = jun,
day = "8",
doi = "10.1063/1.4951932",
language = "English (US)",
series = "AIP Conference Proceedings",
publisher = "American Institute of Physics Inc.",
editor = "Simos, \{Theodore E.\} and Simos, \{Theodore E.\} and Charalambos Tsitouras and Simos, \{Theodore E.\}",
booktitle = "International Conference of Numerical Analysis and Applied Mathematics 2015, ICNAAM 2015",
}