An agent-based model of cardiac allograft vasculopathy: toward a better understanding of chronic rejection dynamics

Cardiac allograft vasculopathy (CAV) is a coronary artery disease affecting 50% of heart transplant (HTx) recipients, and it is the major cause of graft loss. CAV is driven by the interplay of immunological and non-immunological factors, setting off a cascade of events promoting endothelial damage and vascular dysfunction. The etiology and evolution of tissue pathology are largely unknown, making disease management challenging. So far, in vivo models, mostly mouse-based, have been widely used to study CAV, but they are resource-consuming, pose many ethical issues, and allow limited investigation of time points and important biomechanical measurements. Recently, agent-based models (ABMs) proved to be valid computational tools for deciphering mechanobiological mechanisms driving vascular adaptation processes at the cell/tissue level, augmenting cost-effective in vivo lab-based experiments, at the same time guaranteeing richness in observation time points and low consumption of resources. We hypothesize that integrating ABMs with lab-based experiments can aid in vivo research by overcoming those limitations. Accordingly, this work proposes a bidimensional ABM of CAV in a mouse coronary artery cross-section, simulating the arterial wall response to two distinct stimuli: inflammation and hemodynamic disturbances, the latter considered in terms of low wall shear stress (WSS). These stimuli trigger i) inflammatory cell activation and ii) exacerbated vascular cell activities. Moreover, an extensive analysis was performed to investigate the ABM sensitivity to the driving parameters and inputs and gain insights into the ABM working mechanisms. The ABM was able to effectively replicate a 4-week CAV initiation and progression, characterized by lumen area decrease due to progressive intimal thickening in regions exposed to high inflammation and low WSS. Moreover, the parameter and input sensitivity analysis highlighted that the inflammatory-related events rather than the WSS predominantly drive CAV, corroborating the inflammatory nature of the vasculopathy. The proof-of-concept model proposed herein demonstrated its potential in deepening the pathology knowledge and supporting the in vivo analysis of CAV.