A Metabolomics Approach to Identify Metabolites Associated With Mortality in Patients Receiving Maintenance Hemodialysis

Solaf Al Awadhi, Leslie Myint, Eliseo Guallar, Clary B Clish, Kendra E Wulczyn, Sahir Kalim, Ravi Thadhani, Dorry L Segev, Mara McAdams DeMarco, Sharon M Moe, Ranjani N Moorthi, Thomas H Hostetter, Jonathan Himmelfarb, Timothy W Meyer, Neil R Powe, Marcello Tonelli, Eugene P Rhee, Tariq Shafi

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

Abstract

INTRODUCTION: Uremic toxins contributing to increased risk of death remain largely unknown. We used untargeted metabolomics to identify plasma metabolites associated with mortality in patients receiving maintenance hemodialysis.

METHODS: We measured metabolites in serum samples from 522 Longitudinal US/Canada Incident Dialysis (LUCID) study participants. We assessed the association between metabolites and 1-year mortality, adjusting for age, sex, race, cardiovascular disease, diabetes, body mass index, serum albumin, Kt/Vurea, dialysis duration, and country. We modeled these associations using limma, a metabolite-wise linear model with empirical Bayesian inference, and 2 machine learning (ML) models: Least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) and random forest (RF). We accounted for multiple testing using a false discovery rate (pFDR) adjustment. We defined significant mortality-metabolite associations as pFDR < 0.1 in the limma model and metabolites of at least medium importance in both ML models.

RESULTS: The mean age of the participants was 64 years, the mean dialysis duration was 35 days, and there were 44 deaths (8.4%) during a 1-year follow-up period. Two metabolites were significantly associated with 1-year mortality. Quinolinate levels (a kynurenine pathway metabolite) were 1.72-fold higher in patients who died within year 1 compared with those who did not (pFDR, 0.009), wheras mesaconate levels (an emerging immunometabolite) were 1.57-fold higher (pFDR, 0.002). An additional 42 metabolites had high importance as per LASSO, 46 per RF, and 9 per both ML models but were not significant per limma.

CONCLUSION: Quinolinate and mesaconate were significantly associated with a 1-year risk of death in incident patients receiving maintenance hemodialysis. External validation of our findings is needed.

Original languageEnglish (US)
Pages (from-to)2718-2726
Number of pages9
JournalKidney International Reports
Volume9
Issue number9
DOIs
StatePublished - Sep 2024

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